HERONG BAI
Research

Aviation Research

Flight Data, Artificial Intelligence, and Wind-Shear Detection

My aviation research began with operational flight data and later expanded into the preparation and evaluation of data for an artificial intelligence-based wind-shear monitoring system. Although the two projects addressed different problems, both required me to think carefully about the relationship between mathematical models and the real systems they are intended to describe. A dataset may contain hundreds of thousands of observations, yet before drawing conclusions from it, someone has to determine what those observations actually represent, how they relate to one another, and whether the information being fed into an analysis is reliable. In aviation, errors in data interpretation can matter well beyond the appearance of a graph. Flight delays, diversions, changing weather conditions, and decisions made under uncertainty all have consequences for passengers, airports, airlines, and flight safety.

Flight Data and Post-Pandemic Recovery | 2023–2025

During 2023–2025, I participated in a research project examining operational flight data from Yinchuan Hedong International Airport, with particular attention to the recovery of air traffic following changes in COVID-related policies. My work involved cleaning and integrating datasets containing more than 300,000 flight records, organizing the information into usable time series, and preparing visualizations that allowed changes in flight activity to be examined over time. We were interested in patterns of recovery that could not necessarily be captured by assuming a constant growth rate or a simple return to pre-disruption conditions.

The project made me think differently about the idea of recovery. An increase in the number of flights is not necessarily the same thing as a uniform restoration of the system that existed before a disruption. Traffic may return at different rates during different periods, and an apparent trend may reflect several influences operating simultaneously. Time-series visualizations helped us examine changes in activity and identify patterns worthy of further investigation, including possible nonlinear behavior. But interpreting those patterns required care: a change occurring after a policy adjustment does not, on its own, establish that the policy caused it. I became interested in how statistical descriptions of recovery could be separated from causal explanations, and how the limits of the available data should shape the conclusions we draw.

This was also one of my early experiences with research in which the less visible work was often the most important. Cleaning records, checking consistency, integrating data from different sources, and deciding how to present the resulting series were necessary before more ambitious analysis could begin. A visualization could look convincing even when the underlying dataset was poorly prepared. I learned to treat the construction of a dataset as part of the research itself rather than as a mechanical step before the real analysis.

Flight Data & Recovery
A conceptual workflow for preparing and examining operational flight records. This is a methods diagram, with no measured recovery curve or invented results.

AI-Based Wind-Shear Monitoring and Early Warning | 2024–2025

My subsequent work concerned low-level wind shear, a phenomenon involving rapid changes in wind speed or direction that can pose serious risks to aircraft, especially during takeoff and landing. Sudden variations in wind conditions near an airport runway can force pilots to go around, return to their departure airport, or divert to another destination. Beyond the immediate safety implications, such events can disrupt airport operations and impose substantial economic costs. Detecting potentially hazardous changes in the wind field early enough to support operational decisions is therefore both a technical and a practical problem.

I participated as a high school student in Research on Key Technologies for AI-Based Wind-Shear Monitoring and Early Warning (基于人工智能技术的风切变监测与预警关键技术研究), a project under the 2023 Key Research and Development Program of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, supported by CNY 500,000 in dedicated research funding from the Ningxia Department of Science and Technology. The research team developed an integrated approach to low-level wind-shear detection and early warning, combining information from LiDAR, wind-profiler radar, automatic weather stations, and other relevant data sources within a unified spatial and temporal framework. The objective was to collect and analyze wind-field information around airport runways and use machine-learning methods to identify patterns associated with hazardous wind conditions.

The team's work included YOLO-based image recognition and Transformer-based approaches to detecting wind-shear features in three-dimensional LiDAR point-cloud data. According to the project's technical description, the research used laser Doppler wind LiDAR data collected during 2023 and 2024 to construct a low-level wind-shear dataset for airports in Ningxia. The model development also involved a self-attention module identified as SATA, a resolution-embedding module (RE) intended to improve the representation of low-resolution point-cloud regions, CoordConv convolutional layers designed to increase sensitivity to spatial position, and a Convolutional Block Attention Module (CBAM) intended to strengthen the extraction of relevant features. These methods formed part of the research team's wider algorithm-development work; they should not be presented as architectures independently invented or developed by me.

Wind-Shear Monitoring System
Conceptual illustration based on the supplied project description; not the project’s internal system architecture or a record of operational deployment.

My own responsibilities centered on dataset construction, preprocessing, algorithm evaluation, and scientific visualization. Under the guidance of graduate researchers and research staff, I learned to use Python to write scripts for denoising, registration, and segmentation of raw LiDAR point clouds. These steps helped transform raw measurements into more consistent, standardized datasets suitable for model training and evaluation. Working with point-cloud data required attention to the geometry and quality of the observations, not simply their quantity. Before a model can identify meaningful spatial patterns, its input data must be processed in ways that preserve the information relevant to the task.

Point-Cloud Data Preparation
A general preparation workflow. No airport point-cloud samples or private research data are shown.

I also wrote automated evaluation scripts and contributed to comparative experiments and ablation studies. The purpose of these experiments was to examine how changes in the model or its components affected detection performance. We used quantitative metrics, including mean Average Precision (mAP), to help compare model outputs and assess optimization effects. I was interested in the distinction between reporting an improvement and demonstrating that an improvement was attributable to a particular change. An ablation experiment can be useful precisely because it removes or alters a component and tests what happens to the results. At the same time, a higher value for a detection metric does not by itself establish that a system is ready for operational deployment. The test data, evaluation conditions, and possible failure cases all matter.

For the project's technical reports, I used Origin to prepare visualizations from intermediate experimental results and final test outputs. This involved arranging charts, standardizing axis labels and scales, adjusting layouts and color schemes, and producing consistent figures suitable for reporting and comparison. I came to see scientific visualization as another form of analytical responsibility. A chart should make the evidence easier to inspect, not disguise uncertainty or exaggerate the difference between experimental results.

Model Evaluation
Conceptual relationships between comparative experiments, ablation studies and mAP; no performance values or model rankings are presented.

The project developed an intelligent low-level wind-shear detection prototype integrating data acquisition and neural-network-based analysis. The planned research tasks have been completed, and the project has passed acceptance review by the responsible authority. This status refers to the project as a whole. My contribution was a defined part of a larger research effort involving experienced researchers and technical specialists.

Looking back at these two aviation projects, I see a connection between work that initially appeared quite different. In the flight-recovery study, I helped prepare and examine large operational datasets to understand how an aviation system changed over time. In the wind-shear project, I helped prepare three-dimensional sensing data and evaluate algorithms intended to detect a potential safety hazard. One concerned the interpretation of past changes; the other concerned identifying conditions that might require timely action. Both made me more aware of the distance between a mathematical result and a decision made in the real world. A model is useful only to the extent that its assumptions, data, and limitations are understood. That is one reason I want to continue studying mathematics while working on problems involving uncertainty, public infrastructure, and the consequences of technical decisions.

我的航空研究从机场运行航班数据开始,后来扩展到为一套基于人工智能的风切变监测系统进行数据准备与评估。虽然这两个项目研究的问题不同,但它们都促使我认真思考数学模型与其试图描述的真实系统之间的关系。一套数据可能包含数十万条观测记录,但在据此得出结论之前,必须先弄清这些记录究竟代表什么、彼此之间如何关联,以及输入分析的信息是否可靠。在航空领域,数据解读出错的影响可能远不止一张图表是否准确。航班延误、备降、天气条件变化,以及在不确定情况下作出的决策,都会影响旅客、机场、航空公司和飞行安全。

航班数据与疫情后的恢复|2023–2025

2023至2025年间,我参与了一项分析银川河东国际机场运行航班数据的研究,重点关注新冠疫情相关政策调整后的航空运输恢复情况。我的工作包括清洗和整合包含30万余条航班记录的数据集,将信息整理为可用于分析的时间序列,并制作可视化图表,以观察航班活动随时间发生的变化。我们关注的恢复模式,未必能够通过假设恒定增长率,或假设系统简单回归受扰动前的状态来描述。

这个项目改变了我对“恢复”这一概念的理解。航班数量增加,并不一定意味着此前的系统以均匀一致的方式恢复。不同阶段的航班流量可能以不同速度回升,而一个表面上的趋势,也可能反映了多种因素的共同作用。时间序列可视化帮助我们考察航班活动的变化,发现值得进一步研究的模式,包括可能存在的非线性特征。但解释这些模式需要谨慎:某个变化发生在政策调整之后,并不能单凭这一点就认定是政策造成了该变化。我开始关注如何区分对恢复过程的统计描述与因果解释,以及现有数据的局限应当如何约束我们作出的结论。

这也是我较早接触到的一类研究经历:那些不太显眼的工作,往往最为重要。在开展更深入的分析之前,必须先清洗记录、检查一致性、整合不同来源的数据,并决定如何呈现由此得到的时间序列。即使底层数据准备不充分,可视化图表仍可能显得很有说服力。我学会了把数据集的构建视为研究本身的一部分,而不是正式分析之前的一个机械步骤。

航班数据与恢复研究
航班运行记录整理与分析的概念流程图;仅说明方法,不展示实际恢复曲线或虚构的研究结果。

基于人工智能的风切变监测与预警|2024–2025

我之后参与的工作与低空风切变有关。这一现象涉及风速或风向的快速变化,可能给航空器带来严重风险,尤其是在起飞和着陆阶段。机场跑道附近风况的突然变化,可能迫使飞行员复飞、返航或备降至其他机场。除了直接影响飞行安全,这类事件还可能扰乱机场运行,带来显著的经济损失。因此,及早发现风场中可能具有危险性的变化,为运行决策提供支持,既是技术问题,也是实践问题。

我以高中生身份参与了“基于人工智能技术的风切变监测与预警关键技术研究”项目。该项目属于宁夏回族自治区2023年重点研发计划,获宁夏回族自治区科学技术厅50万元科研专项资金支持。研究团队开发了一套低空风切变检测与预警的综合方法,在统一的时空框架下整合激光雷达、风廓线雷达、自动气象站及其他相关数据源的信息。项目的目标是采集和分析机场跑道周边的风场信息,并利用机器学习方法识别与危险风况相关的模式。

团队的工作包括基于YOLO的图像识别,以及利用Transformer方法检测三维激光雷达点云数据中的风切变特征。根据项目技术说明,研究使用2023年和2024年采集的激光多普勒测风雷达数据,构建宁夏机场低空风切变数据集。模型开发还涉及名为SATA的自注意力模块、用于改善低分辨率点云区域表征的分辨率嵌入模块(RE)、旨在增强空间位置敏感性的CoordConv卷积层,以及用于加强相关特征提取的卷积块注意力模块(CBAM)。这些方法属于研究团队整体算法开发工作的一部分,不应被表述为由我独立发明或开发的模型架构。

风切变监测系统
依据项目提供的技术描述绘制的概念示意;不是项目内部系统架构图,也不表示系统已投入实际运行。

我个人的工作主要围绕数据集构建、预处理、算法评估和科研可视化展开。在课题组研究生和研究人员的指导下,我学习使用Python编写脚本,对原始激光雷达点云进行去噪、配准和分割。这些步骤有助于将原始测量结果转化为一致性更高、更加标准化的数据集,用于模型训练和评估。处理点云数据时,需要关注观测数据的几何特征和质量,而不仅仅是数量。在模型能够识别有意义的空间模式之前,必须以保留任务相关信息的方式处理输入数据。

点云数据准备
点云预处理的一般流程;未展示机场真实点云样本或内部科研数据。

我还编写了自动化评估脚本,并参与对比实验和消融实验。这些实验的目的是考察模型或其组成部分的变化如何影响检测性能。我们使用包括平均精度均值(mAP)在内的量化指标,辅助比较模型输出、评估优化效果。我关注的是,报告性能有所提升,与证明这种提升源于某项具体改动,是两件不同的事。消融实验之所以有用,正是因为它通过移除或改变某个组成部分,检验结果会发生什么变化。同时,某项检测指标数值更高,并不能单独证明系统已经具备实际部署运行的条件。测试数据、评估条件和可能出现的失效情形,都必须纳入考虑。

在项目技术报告的准备过程中,我使用Origin,将实验中间结果和最终测试输出制作成可视化图表。这包括编排图表、统一坐标轴标签与刻度、调整版式和配色,并制作风格一致、便于报告呈现和比较的图。我逐渐把科研可视化看作另一种分析责任:图表应当让证据更便于审视,而不应掩盖不确定性,或夸大实验结果之间的差异。

模型评估
对比实验、消融实验与 mAP 指标之间的概念关系;不包含性能数值、提升幅度或模型排名。

项目开发了一套集成数据采集与基于神经网络分析的低空风切变智能检测原型系统。项目已完成计划研究任务,并已通过主管部门验收。这一状态指的是项目整体。我的贡献,是由资深研究人员和技术专家共同参与的更大研究工作中,范围明确的一部分。

回顾这两个航空项目,我看到了两类起初似乎差异很大的工作之间的联系。在航班恢复研究中,我协助准备和考察大规模运行数据集,以理解航空系统如何随时间变化;在风切变项目中,我协助准备三维传感数据,并评估用于检测潜在安全风险的算法。前者关注对过去变化的解释,后者关注对可能需要及时行动的状况的识别。两者都让我更清楚地意识到,数学结果与现实决策之间仍有一段距离。只有理解模型的假设、数据及其局限,模型才可能发挥作用。这也是我希望继续学习数学,并研究涉及不确定性、公共基础设施和技术决策后果的问题的原因之一。

Original Project Abstracts

The abstracts describe the research team’s overall project. Herong Bai’s individual responsibilities are identified separately in the main article.

中文摘要

低空风切变对航空器的飞行安全构成了极大的威胁和实质性的伤害,近年来,银川河东国际机场飞行架次增长迅速,风切变原因导致的航空器复飞、返航、备降等情况日益增加,造成了极大的经济损失。本项目研究基于统一的时空基准框架的横切风预测算法,设计一套以激光雷达、风廓线雷达、自动气象站为数据源,实现机场跑道的风场全息数据采集;基于深度神经网络的三维点云时空特征提取网络,将原始风场数据输入网络以提取低空风切变的时空特征;集成多源数据采集方案和基于深度神经网络的数据分析算法,完成风切变监测和预警。本项目研究工作首先基于2023、24年的激光多普勒测风雷达数据构建了宁夏机场低空风切变数据集。通过引入自我注意(SATA)模块加强风切变区域的特征与关联,引入分辨率嵌入(RE)模块增强低分辨率区域点云数据,设计实现了基于YOLO的风切变检测算法。算法采用CoordConv卷积层替代传统卷积,增强网络对风切变空间位置敏感性,引入CBAM注意力机制强化风切变关键特征识别,开发了一套低空风切变智能检测原型系统,为飞行器飞行安全提供智能化技术支持。

关键词: 人工智能;点云检测;风切变;Transformer;YOLO算法。

English Abstract — Project Team

An edited English version for international readers; not an official publication translation.

Low-level wind shear is a significant threat to aircraft flight safety. In recent years, flight operations at Yinchuan Hedong International Airport have grown rapidly, and wind-shear-related go-arounds, returns, and diversions have imposed substantial operational and economic costs. The project investigates crosswind prediction and low-level wind-shear monitoring within a unified spatiotemporal reference framework. It integrates LiDAR, wind-profiler radar, and automatic weather stations to collect wind-field data around airport runways, and employs deep neural networks to extract spatiotemporal features from three-dimensional point-cloud data. The research constructed a low-level wind-shear dataset using laser Doppler wind LiDAR data collected during 2023 and 2024. The technical approach includes self-attention (SATA), resolution embedding (RE), CoordConv layers, CBAM attention mechanisms, and YOLO-based detection. The project developed a prototype intelligent detection system integrating multi-source data acquisition, analysis, and early warning to support aviation safety.

Keywords: Artificial Intelligence; Point-Cloud Detection; Wind Shear; Transformer; YOLO Algorithm.

Project reference

Wang Bo, Wang Haixia & Zhang Zhicheng. A Point-Cloud-Based Wind-Shear Recognition System. Internet of Things Technologies, 2026, no. 1, pp. 21–25.

Publication ↗

This is a project-team publication reference. Herong Bai is not listed as an author.

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